QUOTE(jtryka @ May 31 2006, 09:16 AM)
I don't find this surprising at all, as these "returns" are approximately equal to the rate of paper inflation during those times. I view the 1% return from 1600 to be approximately equal to the real rate of return on gold, as during most of that time period gold was currency, and inflation averaged about zero.[right][snapback]221877[/snapback][/right]
Good point.
QUOTE(jtryka @ May 31 2006, 09:16 AM)
As for being better of in T-bills, he is just plain wrong. I just did a quick calculation, and based on annual T-bill yields from 1954-2004, if you put $1,000 in T-bills in 1954, ignoring transaction costs you would have had $13,184.47 in 2004, a compound average return of 5.187%. If you used that same $1,000 and bough gold at the pegged price of $35/oz. in 1954, that gold today would be worth $18,714.29 at $655 per oz. Seems clear which I would rather have, though I guess if your Dave Ramsey having less money would be better so you would avoid getting that much deeper in debt!

[right][snapback]221877[/snapback][/right]
Just to be fair to ol' Dave,,, he did say up to 2002,, excluded the recent run up in his T-bill comparison. IMO Dave makes a good point with respect to viewing "investments" in the long term vs. the short term. Buyers in today's market are definitely at more risk of of loss than those who purchased at ~300 a few years ago,,, approximately $400 per oz. more at risk.
This is an aside, but illustrates one item that I disagree with Dave on and one where I think he contradicts himself abit. He once stated to a caller that it's better to pay extra towards paying off his mortage @5.25% fixed than taking the extra money and investing it in the stock market at an average (long term demonstrated) rate of return @~8%. Based his agrument on demonstrated short term risk of the market (playing both sides of fence),,, anyway, I think he may be much better at advising personnal money management and consumer restraint than investment choices.
Me, I hope they perfect cheap fusion (hydrogen cell) technology,,,, opex for mining operations plummets,,,, and gold falls through the floor.........that way I can buy more of it for the same piece of cotton fiber.