QUOTE(STEVE MOULDING @ Feb 28 2008, 03:16 PM)

Bob...why confused?
Any auction house will be conservative. If they estimate low, then they can trumpet their sale as being successful, easily exceeding expectations, etc. If they over-estimate they'll scare bidders away and will look like chumps if many lots don't hit the estimate.
I almost never go by their estimates. If I did I'd never win anything. Know what something is worth (and you clearly do) and bid accordingly.
Steve
Hi Steve. I'm a fellow RNS member. One thing you said caught my attention: "Know what something is worth...". How does one do that in today's Russian coin market? For example, I was interested in the gorgeous 1803 Rouble in the recently completed UBS auction 74. Estimate was CHF 7500. I know it would go for "more," but CHF 40,000??? Yikes. How can anyone know what something is worth today. A 1901 poltina in an NGC PF67 holder with beautiful toning, estimate CHF 1500 (!) went for CHF 30,000!!!! 20 times estimate. I mean being conservative with the estimates if one thing; being that far off means that UBS, and probably anyone else, has absolutely no idea what a nice Russian coin will bring in today's Russian-dominated market. I feel fortunate that I bought some very nice coins out of the Hesselgesser sales between 2000 and 2004. I probably couldn't touch them now. Another example of this is in the recently completed Triton XI sale. Again, the Russian coins went out of sight. I assume you'll report on these important sales in the next issue of the RNS journal. And, by the way, it would be helpful if you reported the grades for the choice coins. It's hard to make sense out of the PR when one has no idea that this coin was a PF67 and this other coin was a PF61, but both are reported as "proof."
I don't know when this fire will die down, but right now it's burning furiously.
Marv Finnley