QUOTE(San_Miguel98 @ Mar 17 2007, 05:23 AM) [snapback]311410[/snapback]
i was off shoring up my pre-euro collection and i noticed plenty of notes are now being listed for far cheaper than they were several years ago. most pre-euro currencies will no longer be exchangeable in their country's central banks after 2012. a few, like germany, belgium, luxembourg, ireland, austria, and spain have indefinite exchange periods. for the rest...2012 is the deadline. do you think collector value for notes of those countries will ever drop to below their former face values?
for example, let's say italy printed out millions of L. 500,000 notes. before 2002, the exchange rate for one of these things was around $340.00. after they lose their exchangeability, they're pretty much worthless except to collectors and sentimentalists. so, supply and demand come into play. if a large cache of these notes surfaces and ends up flooding the collector market, might they be bought and sold for $200, $100, or even $20?
maybe it's a foreign concept to me because american currency has always stayed legal tender, (for the most part). i can't imagine a 1928 $1000 bill ever ending up on ebay for a few dollars.
what does everybody think?
I always assumed that the when the country of origin had demonetized the old stuff after a certain date, it became worthless and people would then sell it for what they could get for it. Unfortunately for me, all my favorite notes that fall into this category are going strong (French influenced African notes for example) due to collectors demands.
QUOTE(San_Miguel98 @ Mar 17 2007, 05:51 AM) [snapback]311415[/snapback]
additional info for the "market flood" scenario-
the bank of finland reports €236 million worth of markkaa notes were never turned in for euro exchange. that's over 1.4 billion markkas! the bank also acknowledges that the majority of these unaccounted bills are probably in the hands of collectors.
http://www.bof.fi/en/setelit_ja_kolikot/la...evat_markat.htmIn "Collecting Paper Money For Pleasure And Profit" by Barry Krause 1997 edition, there is a statement under Missing Money that says a 1985 Federal Reserve System study estimated that about
75% of circulating US money (coins and Paper totaling $154 billion) could not be located. They think that it was due to criminals and hoarding by other countries and said that collectors had very little of it. I have always been amazed at that.
As far as counterfeiting the US Notes, I have heard or read somewhere (perhaps in the book above) that the US gave away a printing press many years ago along with some plates! I think it was to a Middle Eastern country, but I cannot remember which one for sure... So they can't complaint too much about foreign forgeries if they do stupid things like that.